With the somewhat downbeat qualifying session – not to take anything away from Hamilton’s pole position, but on the whole, the session was marred in our eyes with teams concentrating more on strategy and tactical related tyre decisions rather than going all out for the fastest lap.

You can’t blame the teams, of course they are thinking about Sunday, that’s when points can be won, so with that in mind we’re moving on and looking ahead to what should be a fascinating race.

What better tool, than one our famous Pies of Possibility.  Now, if you haven’t seen these before, it’s where we bake a pie, in this case Chinese GP Victory Pie and then divide the slices depending on how we see the ingredients mixing up and collectively producing in the pie.

Firstly, it’s bound to be a tasty pie thanks to the key ingredients – Red Bull’s awful day, Hamilton’s blinder of a lap and then there’s the death of the previous Prime Minister, Magaret Thatcher.  Yes, you read that right.  We owe this bizarre inclusion to @AlanBaldwinF1, the F1 reporter for Reuters.  Let’s have a look at the Pie of Possibility for Chinese Victory…

pie of possibility


Hulkenberg, Button and Ricciardo all have small slices of pie because, let’s face it, they are not expected to be on the top step tomorrow with their cars being far from race winning machines, but at least they have a slice of pie. Mark Webber doesn’t but then he’s down in 22nd (the someone else slice means he isn’t out of the running mind).

Vettel, Massa and Rosberg all have a reasonably sized slice of pie because they could win the race, but with Vettel’s starting position of 9th, he’s going to have to have an epic Sunday to get ahead of everyone else.  Massa may be quick and have a solid car, but while Alonso is in the running we can’t see him snatching victory.  Rosberg won last year and the Mercedes is quick, so he has a pretty large slice of potential victory pie.

Alonso and Hamilton have the largest slices. Hamilton’s on pole, has a quick car and the will to make his move to Mercedes look ever more inspired than it already is. Alonso needs to put things right following the previous GP and is in a good position to grab 1st in his quick Ferrari.

And then there’s Kimi Raikkonen with a slice that’s nearly a third of the whole pie.  Is he greedy?  No, well maybe, but we’re putting our necks out and giving him a massive slice of victory pie because, as pointed out by Alan Baldwin, the Lotus team (or whatever they’ve been called over the years) tend to win following the death of a British Premier. In brief:

  • 2005 – Edward Heath passed away and a week later, Alonso won for Renault
  • 2005 – James Callaghan passed away and the following GP in Bahrain was won by Alonso for Renault
  • 1995 – Alec Douglas-Home left us and then the next race saw Michael Schumacher win in Japan for Benetton
  • 1995 – Harold Wilson died and just 4 days later Schumacher won in Monaco, also for Benetton
  • 1967 – Clement Attlee passed away only for Jim Clark to win for Lotus in the next race

Ok, so the last one wasn’t the Enstone team, but it was a team called Lotus, and all the previous four show drivers winning for the Enstone based team that’s now called Lotus immediately following the death of such a person as Maggie Thatcher.

To add to these (rather morbid) stats, Mr Baldwin points out that the last 5 new popes have been followed by victory for Lotus or the Enstone team too, and Kimi Raikkonen won the 2013 Aussie GP, shortly after the new Pope Francis took his position.

Wow, we are truly stunned. Thank you to Alan Baldwin for producing all the facts and I hope you all enjoy the tasty pie of possibility.  Let us know what you think of all this in the comments below.